Wall Street Journal
POLITICS
ELECTION 2020
Trump’s Positive Coronavirus Test Moves Campaign Deeper Into Unknown Territory
The difference between a mild case and a severe one could have an enormous impact on the race.
By Gerald F. Seib
October 2, 2020
A presidential campaign that never was on a traditional or predictable course now is in completely uncharted waters.
The disclosure that President Trump and first lady Melania Trump both have tested positive for the coronavirus delivered perhaps the biggest shock yet in an election season marked by a seemingly nonstop string of them.
The law of unknown consequences now is in full effect. The uncertainty starts, of course, with the actual state of the president’s health going forward. In the coronavirus pandemic, the world has seen that the difference between a mild case and severe reactions can be an enormous one.
A severe case could affect Mr. Trump’s ability to campaign, and conceivably even to continue governing. In political terms, the contrast between a long string of presidential statements playing down the coronavirus’ effects—including one delivered just hours before the announcement he had tested positive—and the harsh reality of that same president now struck by the virus would only punctuate the Democrats’ argument that Mr. Trump has misled the country on the pandemic’s impact.
On the other hand, if the president has only a mild case, which he moves past quickly, he could use that experience to reinforce in the campaign’s final days his argument that fears of the virus have been overblown. In Brazil, President Jair Bolsonaro weathered a mild case this summer, then used his recovery to bolster his arguments that the disease shouldn’t stop Brazilians from going about their lives normally.
In either case, the list of new uncertainties is long. There is no telling yet where the president’s coronavirus case leaves the second presidential debate, scheduled for Oct. 15, or the rest of the president’s campaign schedule.
The coronavirus announcement was the third big shock Mr. Trump had thrown into the race this week. The first was his performance in the first presidential debate with Democrat Joe Biden, in which he interrupted and ridiculed his rival so persistently that the independent debate commission is considering adjusting the rules to prevent a repeat.
The second shock came in the president’s renewed declaration in that debate, and repeated subsequently, that he thinks the coming election could be fraudulent because of the extensive use of mail-in ballots, and his declaration that he expects the outcome to be determined in the courts rather than in the traditional ballot counting.
There already are some early signs that the debate performance played badly for Mr. Trump with swing voters and soft Republican supporters.
"Darwin was the first to use data from nature to convince people that evolution is true, and his idea of natural selection was truly novel. It testifies to his genius that the concept of natural theology, accepted by most educated Westerners before 1859, was vanquished within only a few years by a single five-hundred-page book. On the Origin of Species turned the mysteries of life's diversity from mythology into genuine science." -- Jerry Coyne
Friday, October 2, 2020
Gerald F. Seib is the best columnist at the Wall Street Journal. This is what he wrote about Fucktard Trump.
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