"Brazil recently surpassed 500,000 official Covid deaths, the world’s second-highest total behind the U.S."

June 29, 2021

An informed guide to the pandemic, with the latest developments and expert advice about prevention and treatment.

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By Jonathan Wolfe and Amelia Nierenberg

Concerns over the Delta variant have triggered lockdowns in Asian and Pacific countries. Los Angeles County strongly recommended that everyone wear masks indoors as a precaution against the Delta variant. As the Northwest broils, officials have prioritized cooling off over Covid precautions. Get the latest updates here, as well as maps and a vaccine tracker.

Brazil’s persistent struggles

Brazil recently surpassed 500,000 official Covid deaths, the world’s second-highest total behind the U.S. About 1 in every 400 Brazilians has died from the virus, but many experts believe the true death toll may be higher. The virus situation there is not easing, with an average of nearly 70,000 new cases per day.

To learn more, we spoke to Ernesto Londoño, The Times’s Brazil bureau chief.

The last time we spoke was mid-April, when Brazil’s average death toll was the highest in the world. What’s happened since then?

March and April were the peak months in terms of the hospital system coming under enormous strain. Since then, the number of daily infections and the number of deaths remains staggeringly high. We’re talking about daily death tolls that have ranged from 1,500 to 2,500. So lower than the peak period we saw earlier this year where you were exceeding 4,000 deaths a day, but clearly, we’re still very much in the grip of a raging outbreak.

The New York Times

What’s the latest on the variants?

There was a consensus that the Gamma variant vastly accelerated contagion earlier this year, and it played a pivotal role in pushing Brazil’s health system to the brink of collapse. There have been a number of cases that have been conclusively traced to the Delta variant in a few parts of the country, but Brazil doesn’t have the capacity, or the political will, to have a far more aggressive sequencing program. So by the time we have the first glimmers of where the variants are changing the dynamics of the virus, it’s too late to do something about it.

The New York Times

How is the vaccination campaign?

It’s ramping up, but it’s still very slow and it’s still very disorganized. About a third of the population has received at least one dose, and less than 12 percent are fully vaccinated.

There’s also an interesting phenomenon happening in that people are being choosy about which vaccine they want. So Brazilians show up to vaccine locations, and when they learn that the only vaccine on offer is the Chinese vaccine, many have just been taking a pass and seeing if they can find a different vaccine later on. There are also millions of Brazilians who are not getting their second vaccine doses.

What’s daily life like?

What I see when I ride my bike around town, or do my reporting, is a striking sense of business as usual. Public transportation is jam-packed — people in buses are pressed together like sardines, commuting to work. Restaurants are doing very good business in many parts of Rio, where I live, and people are walking around without masks. So, I think for a large share of the population, there’s just kind of a sense that the pandemic is over, or at the very least, they’re not going to let it interrupt their daily lives.

How’s the political situation?

Heated. There is a growing confrontation between the government and the opposition, which has taken steps in the past few weeks to try to take President Bolsonaro and his cabinet to task for their handling of the pandemic. There’s been a special committee in Congress investigating the government’s response, and that has really increased the political polarization.

And I’m increasingly seeing people become angry and disgusted enough by the status quo that they’re willing to take to the streets. This coming Saturday, we’ll have the third round of street protests we’ve seen in recent weeks. And unlike other protests in the past in Brazil, which have tended to have sort of festive flair, there’s a real sense of rage in these latest protests. The term that many demonstrators have rallied around to criticize their president is “genocide,” which is obviously a very loaded term, but it gives you a sense of just how angry people are and how wronged they feel by their government.

What’s next for eating outside?

The pergolas at Casa La Femme in the West Village.Clay Williams for The New York Times

As life begins to return to normal in New York City, officials and businesses are trying to figure out the future of outdoor dining.

Outdoor structures were a big hit during the pandemic, as thousands of restaurants got quick clearance to set up tables on streets and sidewalks. Now, the city government is working on the complicated process of making the initiative permanent.

The Times restaurant critic Pete Wells offered up suggestions for city planners, nonprofit organizations and architects planning the third wave of outdoor meals.

“Thoughtful regulations can ensure that the exuberant and life-affirming creativity of the past year will continue; overly strict ones could enforce a numbing sameness,” he wrote.

Pete recommends the city institute low or sliding fees and simple forms for permits to keep it accessible for all restaurants.

Restaurants, Pete wrote, are “already skilled at creating private environments that make paying customers feel lucky to be inside their four walls. Now they need to create environments that make noncustomers feel lucky to be their neighbors.”

Vaccine rollout

At-home rapid virus tests may still be useful for vaccinated people worried about sniffles, possible exposures or visits with vulnerable loved ones. The rich and famous will have to show their vaccine cards when they travel to Sun Valley, Idaho, for an event known as the “summer camp for billionaires,” Joe Pompeo reports in Vanity Fair. The African Union is pushing the European Union to amend its digital travel pass to include Covishield, a vaccine used in many low-income countries. In Abu Dhabi, the U.A.E. capital, unvaccinated residents older than 15 will not be able to access most public places after Aug. 20. The U.S. will start sending millions of doses to Peru, Pakistan and Honduras.

See how the vaccine rollout is going in your county and state.

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What else we’re following

Several key products whose prices soared in the spring have grown less expensive, as producers have increased output and buyers have held tight. Canada is still mostly closed to Americans. Here’s why. Britain offered a narrow exemption to its quarantine rules for business travelers “bringing significant economic benefit.” United Airlines is rapidly expanding its fleet to keep up with rebounding travel. New York City landlords are enticing office tenants with lower rents, and even a speakeasy. New York’s first post-pandemic fashion show tells a story of re-emergence.

What you’re doing

The last 15 months have been a battle as we chose to follow C.D.C. guidelines despite Alabama’s disregard for the pandemic. We’ve lost friends, felt isolated from our religious congregation, and have learned to ignore the stares and ridicule for our mask-wearing choices. It’s been tough on all of us but especially our kids. School starts in August and I am sending my kids back because they’re behind, they’ve become a bit agoraphobic, and they crave socializing and learning in a classroom. Yet I know this year no one will be wearing masks. I am praying the vaccine gets approved for children 5 to 11. This constant anxiety for my children’s safety has been exhausting and lonely. — Jennifer Waldo-Speth, Alabaster, Ala.

Total Covid-19 Deaths Per People. Japan is winning. China, which created this disaster, is winning.

Lots of people are dropping dead in India and South America. They were probably not wearing a mask.

New York Times

Global coronavirus cases are surging, driven by India and South America.

The number of new daily cases has exceeded 800,000 for more than a week. The spike is largely driven by the outbreak in India, which now accounts for more than 40 percent of the world’s new cases. The U.S. plans to halt travel for non-U.S. citizens from India starting Tuesday.

Vaccines in India are running short, hospitals are swamped and cremation grounds are burning thousands of bodies every day. Health experts and political analysts say that Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s overconfidence and domineering leadership style bear a huge share of the responsibility for the crisis. Meanwhile, Indians living abroad are frantically seeking to help sick relatives.

Much of South America is also faring poorly. Uruguay, Paraguay, Brazil, Peru, Argentina and Colombia all rank among the 20 nations with the highest number of Covid deaths per capita.

I found this stuff after a chess game with someone in Brazil.

Who is Caissa?

Caissa is the "patron goddess" of chess players.

She was created in a poem called Caïssa written in 1763 by English poet and philologist Sir William Jones.

In the poem, the god Mars falls in love with the goddess Caissa, portrayed as a Thracian dryad. Caissa rebuffs his advances and suggests he take solace in the company of the god Euphron—the god of sport. After hearing Mars' laments, Euphron

...fram'd a tablet of celestial mold,
Inlay'd with squares of silver and of gold;
Then of two metals form'd the warlike band,
That here compact in show of battle stand;
He taught the rules that guide the pensive game,
And call'd it Caissa from the dryad's name:
(Whence Albion's sons, who most its praise confess,
Approv'd the play, and nam'd it thoughtful Chess.)

Mars then presents the game of chess to Caissa in an attempt to win her affection.

Jones' work was inspired by the poem Scacchia ludus ("The game of Chess"), written by Italian poet Marco Girolamo Vida in 1510.

For chess players, Caissa is often invoked as a source of inspiration or luck, e.g. "Caissa was with me in that game."

•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••

The capybara is a giant cavy rodent native to South America.

•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••

Sebastião Moizes Martins

Advogado amante da nobre arte de caissa, ou melhor, um mero amador "capivara"

Lawyer loving the noble art of caissa, or rather, a mere amateur "capybara"

Brazil

New York Times. Brazil is having a bad day.

Brazil on the brink

Brazil is in a terrifying spot in the pandemic. The more contagious P.1 variant first discovered there has pushed cases to record highs in recent weeks and overwhelmed hospitals. The country’s daily average death toll is now the highest in the world.

To understand more, I spoke to Ernesto Londoño, The Times’s Brazil bureau chief.

What’s the virus situation?

Things are not going well. The severity of the crisis and the rate of contagion and the death toll this year have really been staggering. It seems to have caught virtually everybody by surprise.

The breakdown of the health care system has also been really stunning. Brazil has a universal health care system that has pretty broad capabilities. So to see a situation where people have died for lack of oxygen, or where hospitals run out of equipment or the drugs they need to sedate patients before intubating them — it’s really surprising. The medical corps is also just exhausted and they can’t believe they’re having to work at this pace a year into this crisis.

I'm adding this to my list of favorite chess quotes.

ANTONIO RODRIGUES

Tenho grande admiração pelo jogo do Grande Enxadrista Bobby Fischer... Excepcional jogador... AR

Iguatu/CE Brazil

I have great admiration for the game of the Great Chess Player Bobby Fischer ... Exceptional player ... AR

Harpy Eagle in Brazil

Harpy Eagle Harpia harpyja adult female perched in the Atlantic Forest of Sooretama Reserve, state of Espirito Santo, Brazil

Khabarovsk, Russia

An interesting thing about playing chess at https://lichess.org is I learn things about another country after playing chess with someone who lives there.

For example, my last 4 opponents who put their location in their profile:

Indonesia

Khabarovsk, Russia

Santos, Brazil

Belarus

Gerald F. Seib is the best columnist at the Wall Street Journal. This is what he wrote about Fucktard Trump.

Wall Street Journal

POLITICS

ELECTION 2020

Trump’s Positive Coronavirus Test Moves Campaign Deeper Into Unknown Territory

The difference between a mild case and a severe one could have an enormous impact on the race.

By Gerald F. Seib

October 2, 2020

A presidential campaign that never was on a traditional or predictable course now is in completely uncharted waters.

The disclosure that President Trump and first lady Melania Trump both have tested positive for the coronavirus delivered perhaps the biggest shock yet in an election season marked by a seemingly nonstop string of them.

The law of unknown consequences now is in full effect. The uncertainty starts, of course, with the actual state of the president’s health going forward. In the coronavirus pandemic, the world has seen that the difference between a mild case and severe reactions can be an enormous one.

A severe case could affect Mr. Trump’s ability to campaign, and conceivably even to continue governing. In political terms, the contrast between a long string of presidential statements playing down the coronavirus’ effects—including one delivered just hours before the announcement he had tested positive—and the harsh reality of that same president now struck by the virus would only punctuate the Democrats’ argument that Mr. Trump has misled the country on the pandemic’s impact.

On the other hand, if the president has only a mild case, which he moves past quickly, he could use that experience to reinforce in the campaign’s final days his argument that fears of the virus have been overblown. In Brazil, President Jair Bolsonaro weathered a mild case this summer, then used his recovery to bolster his arguments that the disease shouldn’t stop Brazilians from going about their lives normally.

In either case, the list of new uncertainties is long. There is no telling yet where the president’s coronavirus case leaves the second presidential debate, scheduled for Oct. 15, or the rest of the president’s campaign schedule.

The coronavirus announcement was the third big shock Mr. Trump had thrown into the race this week. The first was his performance in the first presidential debate with Democrat Joe Biden, in which he interrupted and ridiculed his rival so persistently that the independent debate commission is considering adjusting the rules to prevent a repeat.

The second shock came in the president’s renewed declaration in that debate, and repeated subsequently, that he thinks the coming election could be fraudulent because of the extensive use of mail-in ballots, and his declaration that he expects the outcome to be determined in the courts rather than in the traditional ballot counting.

There already are some early signs that the debate performance played badly for Mr. Trump with swing voters and soft Republican supporters.